The abundance of news last week — most with a positive slant — finally boosted the S&P 500 out of the Channel of Gloom in which it was mired for so long. Not only did the S&P 500 break out of the channel, but it is now threatening the 200-day moving average, having surpassed the 50-day MA last week.
Apple (AAPL), Morgan Stanley (MS), and Ford (F) powered the corporate side with excellent earnings reports, while today’s positive news from FedEx (FDX) and the housing industry — new home sales were up 23.6% in June — lifted the gloom from the economic side. To be sure, there were a few corporate disappointments last week — IBM’s (IBM) revenues, Amazon’s (AMZN) earnings, Google (GOOG) — but on the economic side, most of the reports were at least tolerable.
All this positive news rapidly shifted the market from its flight to safety to chasing the bulls. The baby bulls led the charge, with all small-caps turning in a +6.5% or better performance. Among the small caps, small-cap growth was the best (+6.7%). The worst cap/style was large-cap value, up +3.3%, which is still pretty good. Read more…
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Categories: What the Market Wants Tags: AAPL, AET, AFL, AMZN, BA, CIT, F, FCFS, FDX, GOOG, IBM, LVS, MOT, MRK, MS, NTSC, RGR, S, sectors, SNE, TESS, V, XOM
Tipping Point Deja Vu
by David Brown, Chief Market Strategist, Sabrient Systems
Seems like we were here just last week, waiting for the market break out of its “Channel of Gloom” or tip further into the Channel’s murky depths. In fact, we came close to tipping to the positive side last week but were held down by a poor consumer sentiment report on Friday and negative earnings from Google (GOOG), plus a double negative whammy from Bank of America (BAC). Not only did BAC announce negative revenues, it let loose with a scary warning about the negative impact of write-offs from the new financial regulations. So on Friday, the S&P 500 tipped further into the three-month Channel of Gloom.
Today the market drifted near the unchanged mark most of the day, but S&P 500 managed to close up +0.6%, well below the top of the Channel and still submerged below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. In the after-market, following IBM’s disappointing revenues report, the market gave it all back, and then some.
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Categories: What the Market Wants Tags: BAC, BAP, GOOG, GS, IBM, JNJ, KO, LINC, MS, NEU, sectors, T, TXN, UPS, WLP
Perhaps it was the new senator from Massachusetts who let the bears out, but I suppose it was a bit more than that. When the week began on Tuesday, after the Martin Luther King holiday, the bulls were grazing happily on GARP stocks, as contented as California cows. But then somebody opened that gate, and the bears roared through and the bulls ran for cover.
It wasn’t exactly a massacre, but it was far from pretty. Consider that the best style/cap, Small-cap Value, was down 4.3% and the worst, Large-cap Value, was down 5.2%. Obviously, all style/caps were ravaged, and the week’s carnage wiped out everything we had accomplished since Santa Claus came in December. Read more…
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Categories: What the Market Wants Tags: AAPL, AMTD, AZO AFL, BAC, C, EGAY, Manic Mondays, MS, NTRS, NVO, PH, RIMM, SCHW, sectors, WFC