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Tech Wreck Tuesday – IBM and TXN “Disappoint”

July 20th, 2010 ilene No comments

Tech Wreck Tuesday – IBM and TXN “Disappoint”

By Phil Davis at Phil’s Stock World

Wheeeee – this is fun!

Well, it’s fun when you have disaster hedges anyway.  I already sent out an Alert to Members this morning reminding them that there’s no point in having disaster hedges if you don’t use that money to buy on the dips, though.  Yesterday we added downside, leveraged plays on SDS (2) and DXD and our focus short was on NFLX (last week it was MA, and that went very well) along with our usual DIA Mattress play.  That shifted us a bit negative as we failed to hold our watch levels and now we are sadly looking all the way down to those low closes of:  Dow 9,686, S&P 1,022, Nasdaq 2,081, NYSE 6,434, Russell 590, SOX 332 and Transports 1,905 as a possible re-test if things get really ugly.

On July 3rd I laid out “5 Plays that Make 500% if the Market Falls” and, fortunately, we didn’t need them as we took off on Monday but they are still good plays and a little cheaper now than they were when we last tested our bottoms.  If you are not well-protected – I strongly suggest you read this post and at least be ready to initiate a hedge if we can’t turn this morning around.  As with most day’s lately – it’s all about copper and the $3 line…

That being said, I do think we will turn this morning around eventually - because IBM is down $7 and the Dow moves about 8 points per $1 of component value so that’s hitting the Dow for 56 points all by itself.  IBM’s earnings were great but revs missed, in large part due to currency issues.  BRIC revenues were up 22% for the company, despite the crap exchange rate.

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WHAT THE MARKET WANTS: Market Searching for Support

Since the market ditched its typical Monday mania today, maybe we can escape the inevitable depression that has followed in its wake.

For five consecutive weeks, the market has started with an up-day only to tank for the rest of the week. Some have blamed the Monday upsurge on weekend manipulation of the futures market.  If that’s the case, it didn’t work today. Overall, the S&P 500 has fallen from a high of 1150 on 1/19 to a low last week of 1044, losing approximately -9% from its high five weeks ago.

In contrast, I would expect this week to be a rather quiet one, as upcoming economic releases are somewhat muted.  Only the trade balance on Tuesday, retail sales and weekly jobless claims on Thursday, and consumer sentiment on Friday are thought of as potential market movers. Read more…

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