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Sabrient Quantitative Investment Research

Financial Advisors & Investment Professionals

News & Announcements - 2020                                      USER GUIDE

9-25-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

9-24-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 9-25-20
    BUY:  M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (MDC)
    SELL: IMAX Corporation (IMAX)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

9-16-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

9-10-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 9-11-20
    BUY: Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX)
    SELL: JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

9-2-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

8-27-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 8-28-20
    BUY: AbbVie Inc. (ABBV)
    SELL: Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

8-26-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

8-13-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 8-14-20
    BUY: Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. (SWX)
    SELL: Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

8-11-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

7-30-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 7-31-20
    BUY: Nexstar Media Group (NXST)
    SELL: Athene Holding Ltd (ATH)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

7-27-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

7-17-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 7-17-20
    BUY (RENEW)  GoDaddy Inc. (GDDY)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

7-11-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

7-5-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Monday, 7-6-20
    BUY: Digital Turbine, Inc (APPS)
    SELL: Strategic Education, Inc. (STRA)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

7-2-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

6-18-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 6-19 -20
    BUY: Papa John's International, Inc (PZZA)
    SELL: The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

6-13-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

6-04-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 6-5-20
    BUY:  RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (RNR)
    SELL: Voya Financial, Inc. (VOYA)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

5-30-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

5-22-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 5-22-20
    BUY:  Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG)
    SELL: DMC Global Inc. (BOOM)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

5-16-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

5-7-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 5-8-20
    BUY:  Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) )
    SELL:  Pacria BioSciences, Inc. (PCRX)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

5-2-20:  ETF Rankings Updated
This week's SectorCast ETF Rankings is available for downloading.

4-23-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 4-24-20
    BUY:  CACI International Inc. (CACI)
    SELL:  Dine Brands Global, Inc. (DIN)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

4-20-20: Baker's Dozen Model Portfolio for 2nd Quarter 2020 Has Launched
The 2nd Quarter 2020 Baker's Dozen Model Portfolio was launched on April 20, 2020. This portfolio, like all Baker's Dozen portfolios, comprises 13 top-ranked stocks from a cross-section of market caps and industries based on our GARP approach, i.e., growth at a reasonable price. Sabrient believes each of these stocks is positioned to perform well for the next 15 months. The portfolio will terminate in 15 months on July 20, 2021. To track the performance of this and all Baker's Dozen portfolios, please visit the Sabrient Baker's Dozen website.

4-10-20:  Sector Detector: COVID-19 flattening and new stimulus lead to stock market surge -- New bull market?
by Scott Martindale
President and CEO, Sabrient Systems

As COVID-19 quickly moved from outbreak to epidemic to full-fledged pandemic in a matter of weeks, hospitalizations and deaths gained momentum, as did the panic selling of risk assets. It demonstrates how interconnected the world has become. The pandemic has become a generational crisis -- and the very definition of the proverbial Black Swan event -- bringing the global economy to its knees, at least temporarily. As a result, Q1 closed with a rare and dreaded trifecta of three down months, which historically does not lead to a quick recovery (albeit with a small sample size). It was the worst Q1 performance since 1987 and the fastest fall from record highs in history.

From its intraday all-time high on 2/19/20 to the intraday low on 3/23/20 (i.e., a little over one month), the S&P 500 fell an incredible -35.3%, wiping out the entire "Trump Bump" and about $10 trillion in US market cap in almost the blink of an eye. Moreover, asset classes were highly correlated in a mass liquidation, leaving no place to hide other than US Treasuries or cash (thus strengthening the US dollar). Even gold and cryptocurrencies largely failed to serve as the safe havens from financial distress they are intended to be, at least initially, as traders liquidated everything into cold hard cash. Indeed, money market funds surged above $4 trillion for the first time ever. Never truer was the old saying, "Stocks take the stairs up and the elevator down" -- or perhaps more fittingly in this case, stocks had rock-climbed up the cliff and swan-dived back down. Read more at Scott Martindale's blog

4-9-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Monday, 4-13-20
    BUY:  Vistra Energy Corp. (VST)
    SELL:  United Rentals, Inc. (URI)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

3-31-20:  Weekly Stock Ratings Changes Now Available
This week's Stock Ratings Changes report is available for downloading.

3-26-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 3-27-20
    BUY:  XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO)
    SELL:  Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

3-24-20:  Weekly Stock Ratings Changes Now Available
This week's Stock Ratings Changes report is available for downloading.

3-12-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 3-13-20
    BUY:  Berry Global Group, Inc. (BERY)
    SELL:  Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. (HLT)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

3-11-20: New Small Cap Growth UIT Launched
The 26th Sabrient Small Cap Growth UIT Series (FRDAAX) was launched by First Trust Portfolios on March 11, 2020. The portfolio invests in top-ranked (at the time of their selection) small-cap stocks that represent a cross-section of industries that Sabrient believes are positioned to perform well in the coming year. The stocks are GARP stocks—stocks that represent "growth at a reasonable price”—and they are meant to be held for the full term of the trust. This portfolio terminates June 11, 2021. For a prospectus or fact sheet, please visit First Trust Portfolios.

3-3-20:  Weekly Stock Ratings Changes Now Available
This week's Stock Ratings Changes report is available for downloading.

3-2-20:  Sector Detector: Investors get a second-chance entry point: courtesy of coronavirus, algo traders, and Bernie
by Scott Martindale
President and CEO, Sabrient Systems

What a week. From its intraday all-time high on 2/19/20 to the intraday low on Friday 2/28/20, the S&P 500 fell -15.8%. It was a rare and proverbial "waterfall decline," typically associated with a Black Swan event -- this time apparently driven primarily by fears that the COVID-19 virus would bring the global economy to its knees. Once cases started popping up across the globe and businesses shuttered their doors, it was clear that no amount of central bank liquidity could help.

But in my view, it wasn't just the scare of a deadly global pandemic that caused last week's selloff. Also at play were the increasing dominance of algorithmic trading to exaggerate market moves, as well as the surprising surge in popularity of dustbin Bolshevik Bernie Sanders. I think both lent a hand in sending investors into a tizzy last week. Read more at Scott Martindale's blog

2-27-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 2-28-20
    BUY:  CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)
    SELL:  Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

2-25-20:  Weekly Stock Ratings Changes Now Available
This week's Stock Ratings Changes report is available for downloading.

2-13-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 2-14-20
    BUY:  Winnebago Industries Inc. (WGO)
    SELL:  SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. (SSNC)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

2-11-20:  Weekly Stock Ratings Changes Now Available
This week's Stock Ratings Changes report is available for downloading.

1-30-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 1-31-20
    BUY:  Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (HII)
    SELL:  Alaska Air Group Inc. (ALK)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

1-28-20:  Weekly Stock Ratings Changes Now Available
This week's Stock Ratings Changes report is available for downloading.

1-21-20:  Sector Detector: Big hopes for 2020 ride on earnings growth and capex revival
by Scott Martindale
President and CEO, Sabrient Systems

As the New Year gets underway, stocks have continued their impressive march higher. Comparing the start of this year to the start of 2019 reveals some big contrasts. Last January, the market had just started to recover from a nasty 4Q18 selloff of about 20% (a 3-month bear market?), but this time stocks have essentially gone straight up since early October. Last January, we were still in the midst of nasty trade wars with rising tariffs, but now we have a "Phase 1" deal signed with China and the USMCA deal with Mexico and Canada has passed both houses of Congress. At the beginning of last year, the Fed had just softened its hawkish rhetoric on raising rates to being "patient and flexible" and nixing the "autopilot" unwinding of its balance sheet (and in fact we saw three rate cuts), while today the Fed has settled into a neutral stance on rates for the foreseeable future and is expanding its balance sheet once again (to shore up the repo market and finance federal deficit spending (but don't call it QE, they say!). Last year began in the midst of the longest government shutdown in US history (35 days, 12/22/18-1/25/19), but this year's budget easily breezed through Congress. And finally, last year began with clear signs of a global slowdown (particularly in manufacturing), ultimately leading to three straight quarters of YOY US earnings contraction (and likely Q4, as well), but today the expectation is that the slowdown has bottomed and there is no recession in sight. Read more at Scott Martindale's blog

1-17-20: Baker's Dozen Model Portfolio for 1st Quarter 2020 Has Launched
Starting this year, Sabrient's Baker's Dozen portfolios will be published quarterly rather than monthly. Commensurately, each portfolio is designed to be held for 15 months.

The 1st Quarter 2020 Baker's Dozen Model Portfolio was launched on January 17, 2020. This portfolio, like all Baker's Dozen portfolios, comprises 13 top-ranked stocks from a cross-section of market caps and industries based on our GARP approach, i.e., growth at a reasonable price. Sabrient believes each of these stocks is positioned to perform well for the next 15 months. The portfolio will terminate on April 20, 2021. To track the performance of this and all Baker's Dozen portfolios, please visit the Sabrient Baker's Dozen website.

1-16-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 1-17-20
    BUY:  Ciena Corporation (CIEN)
    SELL:  Commercial Metals Company (CMC)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.

1-7-20:  How to identify short candidates through anomalous insider selling activity
by Dominic Finney
Senior Analyst & Chief Technical Editor
Gradient Analytics LLC (a Sabrient Systems company)

Perhaps the most reliable shortcut to identifying a company at elevated risk of a downturn in its share price is looking at how executives and directors use their equity instruments. This might sound too simple to be predictive -- something that would be quickly understood by the market and integrated into investors' thinking on a scale that would cause the "edge" to disappear. But there are complications that have prevented that from happening, on which I will elaborate shortly. But first, let's look at some recent examples.

Over the past two years, Gradient Analytics has published five brief "snapshot" reports based on our Equity Incentive Analytics examining signs of unusual and concerning equity use by executives and directors. The subject companies were Amarin (AMRN), United States Cellular (USM), WW International (WW, or WTW when we wrote on it), Supernus Pharma (SUPN), and Magellan Health (MGLN). All five of the reports preceded significant declines in company share price, with four of the five stocks showing double-digit declines over the ensuing three months and all of them hitting double-digit declines over six months. Read more

1-2-20:  Earnings Busters Alerts for Friday, 1-3-20
    BUY:  Advanced Micro Devices (AMD
    SELL:  Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD)
Details are in the Earnings Busters newsletter.



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